Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Wanderers host Union La Calera in the Copa Chile on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Santiago Wanderers's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Deportes Santa Cruz 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Union La Calera's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Cobresal 0–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Union La Calera 4–0 Santiago Wanderers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Santiago Wanderers and 2.0 for Union La Calera. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santiago Wanderers 25%, draw 13%, Union La Calera 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Union La Calera to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Santiago Wanderers 1–2 Union La Calera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santiago Wanderers25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Draw13%fair 7.66 · @3.45
Union La Calera62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
3.19Expected goals
1.16Santiago Wanderers xG
2.03Union La Calera xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Santiago Wanderers 1.2 – 2.0 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers Santiago Wanderers have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Union La Calera 62%.
How many goals will there be in Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is Santiago Wanderers 1–2 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?
Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera (Copa Chile) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Universidad de Concepcion1
Curico Unido3
Union San Felipe0
Universidad de Chile1