Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓64% · @1.45
Double chanceCoquimbo Unido or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.88
Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
Coquimbo Unido host San Marcos de Arica in the Copa Chile on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Palestino 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Deportes Iquique 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Coquimbo Unido arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished San Marcos de Arica 0–1 Coquimbo Unido.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Coquimbo Unido and 0.7 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Coquimbo Unido 64%, draw 21%, San Marcos de Arica 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coquimbo Unido64%fair 1.57 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.95
San Marcos de Arica16%fair 6.27 · @6.40
2.50Expected goals
1.77Coquimbo Unido xG
0.73San Marcos de Arica xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.8 – 0.7 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Marcos de Arica 16%.
How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–0 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica (Copa Chile) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportes Iquique3
Deportes Limache1