Spain vs Austria prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spain 2.0 – 0.8 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Spain are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 15% for Austria.
Spain have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. Austria have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Spain, 0.8 for Austria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spain to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Spain or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Half-time result | Spain ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spain / FT Spain ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.17 | – |
Form
Spain – last 6
| 27 Jun | @ Uruguay | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | vs Saudi Arabia | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | vs Cape Verde Islands | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Jun | @ Peru | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Jun | vs Iraq | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Egypt | 0–0 | D |
Austria – last 6
| 28 Jun | @ Algeria | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Jun | @ Argentina | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Jun | vs Jordan | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Jun | vs Tunisia | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs South Korea | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | vs Ghana | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Austria.
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Bosnia & Herzegovina0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spain vs Austria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Spain vs Austria?
On our numbers Spain have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Austria 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Austria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Spain vs Austria?
Spain vs Austria (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.