USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: USA 2.3 – 1.1 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
USA are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
USA have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Bosnia & Herzegovina have 6 points from their last 5 (1W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.3 for USA, 1.1 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | USA to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.35 |
| Double chance | USA or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | USA ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT USA / FT USA ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.35 | – |
Form
USA – last 6
| 26 Jun | @ Türkiye | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | vs Australia | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Jun | vs Paraguay | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Jun | vs Germany | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | vs Senegal | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Apr | vs Portugal | 0–2 | L |
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 5
| 24 Jun | vs Qatar | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | @ Switzerland | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | @ Canada | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Panama | 1–1 | D |
| 29 May | vs FYR Macedonia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Bosnia & Herzegovina.
More World Cup predictions
Spain3
Austria0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
On our numbers USA have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 15%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Levi's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.