Premier League · Ukraine · Arena Livyi BeregLivyi Bereh vs Karpaty prediction & analysis
Karpaty or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Karpaty to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Livyi Bereh 0.7 – 1.7 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Karpaty travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for Livyi Bereh.
Livyi Bereh have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Karpaty have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 3.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. Karpaty come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for Livyi Bereh, 1.7 for Karpaty). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Karpaty or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Karpaty to win at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Karpaty to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Karpaty or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.93 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Karpaty ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 6.92 | – |
Form
Livyi Bereh – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Dnister Zalishchyky | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Kryvbas KR | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Kudrivka | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jul | vs Obolon'-Brovar | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jul | vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1–1 | D |
Karpaty – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Obolon'-Brovar | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Bukovyna | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | vs LNZ Cherkasy | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Kryvbas KR | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Veres Rivne | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livyi Bereh and Karpaty.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 |  Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Karpaty or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Livyi Bereh have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Karpaty 61%.
How many goals will there be in Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Livyi Bereg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.