Value bet: Zorya Luhansk to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Zorya Luhansk take on FC Kharkiv on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho. Zorya Luhansk are 7th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while FC Kharkiv sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zorya Luhansk's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Skala 1911 Stryi 6–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
FC Kharkiv's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Kalynivka 9–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Zorya Luhansk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Zorya Luhansk and 1.2 for FC Kharkiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zorya Luhansk 40%, draw 24%, FC Kharkiv 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Zorya Luhansk to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Zorya Luhansk 1–1 FC Kharkiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zorya Luhansk40%fair 2.52 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
FC Kharkiv36%fair 2.75 · @2.20
2.48Expected goals
1.28Zorya Luhansk xG
1.21FC Kharkiv xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.3 – 1.2 FC Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zorya Luhansk to win✗
40%
2.52
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
WWLWLD
22 Aug
@ Skala 1911 Stryi
6–0
W
17 Aug
@ Polessya
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–3
L
31 Jul
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Göztepe
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Grimsby
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Kharkiv – last 6
WLLLWL
22 Aug
@ Kalynivka
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Polessya
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Livyi Bereh
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Veres Rivne
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs FC Schalke 04
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and FC Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Kharkiv 36%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 1–1 FC Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
