Value bet: Kryvbas KR to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKryvbas KR to win ✗51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR preview and prediction
The match
Chornomorets host Kryvbas KR in the Premier League on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Chornomorets. Chornomorets are 11th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Kryvbas KR sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chornomorets's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Vilkhivtsi 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kryvbas KR's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Rokyta 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 July 2026, finished Chornomorets 2–1 Kryvbas KR.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Chornomorets and 1.7 for Kryvbas KR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Kryvbas KR to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chornomorets 1–1 Kryvbas KR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chornomorets28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Kryvbas KR51%fair 1.97 · @2.15
2.90Expected goals
1.19Chornomorets xG
1.70Kryvbas KR xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chornomorets 1.2 – 1.7 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
On our numbers Chornomorets have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kryvbas KR 51%.
How many goals will there be in Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
Our predicted score is Chornomorets 1–1 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chornomorets.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
