Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Karpaty to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarpaty to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceKarpaty or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
Karpaty vs Bukovyna preview and prediction
The match
Bukovyna travel to Ukraina Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 15 August (16:00 WAT) to face Karpaty. Karpaty are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Bukovyna sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Karpaty's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat LNZ Cherkasy 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bukovyna's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karpaty arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Karpaty and 0.5 for Bukovyna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karpaty 67%, draw 22%, Bukovyna 12%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Karpaty to win at 1.70 – 67% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Karpaty 1–0 Bukovyna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karpaty67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Bukovyna12%fair 8.67 · @4.80
2.21Expected goals
1.69Karpaty xG
0.52Bukovyna xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Karpaty 1.7 – 0.5 Bukovyna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karpaty to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Karpaty or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Karpaty ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Form
Karpaty – last 6
WWWWDW
10 Aug
vs LNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Kryvbas KR
4–1
W
25 Jul
vs Veres Rivne
5–1
W
18 Jul
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4–0
W
17 Jul
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Bravo
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bukovyna – last 6
DDWDWD
8 Aug
vs Obolon'-Brovar
0–0
D
3 Aug
vs LNZ Cherkasy
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Ruh Lviv
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Nyiregyhaza
2–2
D
15 Jul
@ Kisvarda FC
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Metal Kharkiv
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karpaty and Bukovyna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Karpaty vs Bukovyna?
On our numbers Karpaty have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bukovyna 12%.
How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Bukovyna?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karpaty vs Bukovyna?
Our predicted score is Karpaty 1–0 Bukovyna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Karpaty vs Bukovyna?
Karpaty vs Bukovyna (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
