Value bet: Uta Arad to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUta Arad to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceUta Arad or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti preview and prediction
The match
The Liga I sees Uta Arad take on Petrolul Ploiesti on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Arena Francisc Neuman. Uta Arad are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Petrolul Ploiesti sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Uta Arad's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Bucuresti 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Petrolul Ploiesti's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with CFR 1907 Cluj 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Uta Arad and 0.8 for Petrolul Ploiesti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Uta Arad to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Uta Arad 2–0 Petrolul Ploiesti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uta Arad65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.78
Petrolul Ploiesti16%fair 6.42 · @4.30
2.69Expected goals
1.90Uta Arad xG
0.78Petrolul Ploiesti xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Uta Arad 1.9 – 0.8 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uta Arad to win✗
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Uta Arad or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Uta Arad ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uta Arad / FT Uta Arad✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Uta Arad – last 6
LDWWLW
1 Nov
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
0–2
L
27 Oct
vs FC Botosani
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Arges Pitesti
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ FC Botosani
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Petrolul Ploiesti – last 6
DWWDLL
31 Oct
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
1–1
D
27 Oct
@ Progresul Spartac
6–0
W
23 Oct
@ FC Botosani
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Farul Constanta
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Chindia Targoviste
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uta Arad and Petrolul Ploiesti.
What is the prediction for Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers Uta Arad have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Petrolul Ploiesti 16%.
How many goals will there be in Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is Uta Arad 2–0 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Francisc Neuman.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
