Value bet: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOţelul to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe preview and prediction
The match
The Liga I sees Oţelul take on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Otelul. Oţelul are 14th with 13 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Oţelul's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Farul Constanta 3–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Concordia 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Oţelul and 1.1 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Oţelul 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oţelul45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe34%fair 2.96 · @3.40
2.38Expected goals
1.31Oţelul xG
1.07Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Oţelul 1.3 – 1.1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oţelul to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oţelul / FT Oţelul✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Oţelul – last 6
LDLLLL
25 Oct
@ Farul Constanta
3–4
L
16 Oct
vs Csikszereda
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ FCSB
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Corvinul Hunedoara
2–3
L
14 Sep
@ Universitatea Cluj
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Rapid
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – last 6
DLDLLW
29 Oct
@ Concordia
1–1
D
26 Oct
vs Universitatea Craiova
0–5
L
17 Oct
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Uta Arad
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
What is the prediction for Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
On our numbers Oţelul have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our predicted score is Oţelul 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Otelul.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
