Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Farul Constanta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarul Constanta to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceFarul Constanta or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Farul Constanta vs Oţelul preview and prediction
The match
Farul Constanta host Oţelul in the Liga I on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Viitorul. Farul Constanta are 6th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Oţelul sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Farul Constanta's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Universitatea Craiova 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Oţelul's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Csikszereda 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Farul Constanta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished Farul Constanta 0–0 Oţelul.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Farul Constanta and 0.8 for Oţelul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Farul Constanta or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Farul Constanta to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Farul Constanta or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Farul Constanta 1–0 Oţelul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farul Constanta61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Oţelul15%fair 6.57 · @3.60
2.63Expected goals
1.82Farul Constanta xG
0.81Oţelul xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Farul Constanta 1.8 – 0.8 Oţelul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
Our pick is Farul Constanta or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
On our numbers Farul Constanta have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oţelul 15%.
How many goals will there be in Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
Our predicted score is Farul Constanta 1–0 Oţelul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
Farul Constanta vs Oţelul (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Viitorul.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
