Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Farul Constanta or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Farul Constanta to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarul Constanta to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceFarul Constanta or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti preview and prediction
The match
Farul Constanta host Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Central Stadium Hagi Academy. Farul Constanta are 6th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Petrolul Ploiesti sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Farul Constanta's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Bucuresti 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Petrolul Ploiesti's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Chindia Targoviste 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Petrolul Ploiesti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Farul Constanta 2–0 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Farul Constanta and 0.8 for Petrolul Ploiesti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Farul Constanta or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Farul Constanta to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Farul Constanta or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Farul Constanta 1–0 Petrolul Ploiesti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farul Constanta60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Petrolul Ploiesti15%fair 6.46 · @3.75
2.65Expected goals
1.82Farul Constanta xG
0.83Petrolul Ploiesti xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Farul Constanta 1.8 – 0.8 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Farul Constanta or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers Farul Constanta have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Petrolul Ploiesti 15%.
How many goals will there be in Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is Farul Constanta 1–0 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium Hagi Academy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
