Value bet: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @ 3.55 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArges Pitesti to win ✗44% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe preview and prediction
The match
The Liga I sees Arges Pitesti take on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). Arges Pitesti are 13th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arges Pitesti's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Oţelul 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Farul Constanta 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Arges Pitesti and 0.7 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win at 3.55 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arges Pitesti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arges Pitesti44%fair 2.29 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.95
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe33%fair 3.05 · @3.55
1.64Expected goals
0.91Arges Pitesti xG
0.72Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe xG
45%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 0.9 – 0.7 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arges Pitesti to win✗
44%
2.29
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.63
–
Form
Arges Pitesti – last 6
LDWWWL
24 Aug
@ Oţelul
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Farul Constanta
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Csikszereda
1–0
W
24 Jul
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FCSB
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – last 6
DDDDDW
23 Aug
vs Farul Constanta
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Slatina
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Csikszereda
0–0
D
10 Aug
vs FCSB
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Corvinul Hunedoara
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Universitatea Cluj
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 33%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga I) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
