Value bet: Arges Pitesti to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOţelul to win ✓37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.92
Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti preview and prediction
The match
Oţelul host Arges Pitesti in the Liga I on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadionul Oțelul. Oţelul are 14th with 13 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Arges Pitesti sit 13th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oţelul's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Concordia 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Arges Pitesti's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Farul Constanta 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arges Pitesti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Oţelul and 0.9 for Arges Pitesti. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Arges Pitesti to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Oţelul 0–0 Arges Pitesti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oţelul37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.80
Arges Pitesti36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
1.90Expected goals
0.97Oţelul xG
0.93Arges Pitesti xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Oţelul 1.0 – 0.9 Arges Pitesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oţelul to win✓
37%
2.67
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.92
–
Form
Oţelul – last 6
LDLDDW
19 Aug
@ Concordia
1–5
L
16 Aug
vs Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Uta Arad
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arges Pitesti – last 6
DWWWLW
14 Aug
vs Farul Constanta
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Csikszereda
1–0
W
24 Jul
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FCSB
0–2
L
2 Jul
@ Dekani
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and Arges Pitesti.
What is the prediction for Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
On our numbers Oţelul have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arges Pitesti 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
Our predicted score is Oţelul 0–0 Arges Pitesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti (Liga I) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Oțelul.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
