Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Universitatea Craiova or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Universitatea Craiova to win @ 1.87 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitatea Craiova to win ✗64% · @1.87
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova preview and prediction
The match
Oţelul host Universitatea Craiova in the Liga I on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadionul Oțelul. Oţelul are 14th with 13 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Universitatea Craiova sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oţelul's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Universitatea Craiova's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat KuPS 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Oţelul and 2.0 for Universitatea Craiova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oţelul 13%, draw 23%, Universitatea Craiova 64%.
Safer route: Universitatea Craiova or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Universitatea Craiova to win at 1.87 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitatea Craiova or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oţelul 0–2 Universitatea Craiova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oţelul13%fair 7.82 · @3.85
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
Universitatea Craiova64%fair 1.56 · @1.87
2.86Expected goals
0.83Oţelul xG
2.03Universitatea Craiova xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Oţelul 0.8 – 2.0 Universitatea Craiova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitatea Craiova to win✗
64%
1.56
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Universitatea Craiova or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Universitatea Craiova ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitatea Craiova / FT Universitatea Craiova✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Oţelul – last 6
LDDWWD
9 Aug
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Uta Arad
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs FC Bacau
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ Farul Constanta
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Universitatea Craiova – last 6
WLDWDL
13 Aug
vs KuPS
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Arges Pitesti
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ KuPS
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
4–0
W
29 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and Universitatea Craiova.
What is the prediction for Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our pick is Universitatea Craiova or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?
On our numbers Oţelul have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universitatea Craiova 64%.
How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our predicted score is Oţelul 0–2 Universitatea Craiova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?
Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Oțelul.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
