Value bet: Oţelul to win @ 2.54 – our chance 47% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOţelul to win ✗47% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul preview and prediction
The match
Oţelul travel to Stadionul Ilie Oană in the Liga I on Sunday 9 August (16:30 WAT) to face Petrolul Ploiesti. Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th with 27 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Oţelul sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Petrolul Ploiesti's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Universitatea Craiova 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Oţelul's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Oţelul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Petrolul Ploiesti 1–5 Oţelul.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Petrolul Ploiesti and 1.4 for Oţelul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Oţelul to win at 2.54 – 47% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Oţelul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Petrolul Ploiesti31%fair 3.23 · @2.68
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Oţelul47%fair 2.15 · @2.54
2.44Expected goals
1.06Petrolul Ploiesti xG
1.38Oţelul xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Petrolul Ploiesti 1.1 – 1.4 Oţelul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
On our numbers Petrolul Ploiesti have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oţelul 47%.
How many goals will there be in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
Our predicted score is Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Oţelul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
