Value bet: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @ 3.35 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPetrolul Ploiesti to win ✗39% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.51
Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti preview and prediction
The match
Arges Pitesti host Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadionul Orasenesc. Arges Pitesti are 13th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Petrolul Ploiesti sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arges Pitesti's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to FCSB 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Petrolul Ploiesti's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Petrolul Ploiesti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Petrolul Ploiesti 2–1 Arges Pitesti.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Arges Pitesti and 0.9 for Petrolul Ploiesti. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Petrolul Ploiesti to win at 3.35 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Arges Pitesti 0–0 Petrolul Ploiesti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arges Pitesti35%fair 2.83 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.98
Petrolul Ploiesti39%fair 2.55 · @3.35
1.81Expected goals
0.87Arges Pitesti xG
0.94Petrolul Ploiesti xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 0.9 – 0.9 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Petrolul Ploiesti 39%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 0–0 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Orasenesc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
