Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBallinamallard United to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceBallinamallard United or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.25
Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland preview and prediction
The match
Ballinamallard United host Rathfriland in the Championship on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT). Ballinamallard United are 7th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Rathfriland sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ballinamallard United's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Armagh City 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rathfriland's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Strabane Athletic 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Ballinamallard United and 0.9 for Rathfriland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballinamallard United 62%, draw 23%, Rathfriland 15%.
Safer route: Ballinamallard United or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ballinamallard United 2–0 Rathfriland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballinamallard United62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.70
Rathfriland15%fair 6.69 · @4.20
2.96Expected goals
2.04Ballinamallard United xG
0.92Rathfriland xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ballinamallard United 2.0 – 0.9 Rathfriland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ballinamallard United to win✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Double chance
Ballinamallard United or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Half-time result
Ballinamallard United ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ballinamallard United / FT Ballinamallard United✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Form
Ballinamallard United – last 6
LWDDWD
31 Oct
vs Armagh City
0–1
L
23 Oct
@ Strabane Athletic
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Queen's University
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Warrenpoint Town
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Queen's University
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Ards
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rathfriland – last 6
DDWWWL
30 Oct
vs Strabane Athletic
2–2
D
20 Oct
vs Ards
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Dundela
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Armagh City
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ H&W Welders
3–1
W
25 Sep
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballinamallard United and Rathfriland.
What is the prediction for Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
On our numbers Ballinamallard United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rathfriland 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
Our predicted score is Ballinamallard United 2–0 Rathfriland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland (Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
