Value bet: Warrenpoint Town to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWarrenpoint Town to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town preview and prediction
The match
Warrenpoint Town travel to face Ballinamallard United in the Championship on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). Ballinamallard United are 7th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Warrenpoint Town sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ballinamallard United's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Queen's University 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Warrenpoint Town's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Strabane Athletic 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Warrenpoint Town 1–0 Ballinamallard United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ballinamallard United and 1.5 for Warrenpoint Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballinamallard United 35%, draw 23%, Warrenpoint Town 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Warrenpoint Town to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ballinamallard United 1–1 Warrenpoint Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballinamallard United35%fair 2.87 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Warrenpoint Town42%fair 2.36 · @2.62
2.92Expected goals
1.37Ballinamallard United xG
1.54Warrenpoint Town xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ballinamallard United 1.4 – 1.5 Warrenpoint Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
On our numbers Ballinamallard United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Warrenpoint Town 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our predicted score is Ballinamallard United 1–1 Warrenpoint Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?
Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
