Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders preview and prediction
The match
Newry City AFC host H&W Welders in the Championship on Friday 25 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Showgrounds. Newry City AFC are 5th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while H&W Welders sit 9th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Newry City AFC's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Annagh United 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
H&W Welders's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Ballinamallard United 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
H&W Welders arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Newry City AFC and 2.3 for H&W Welders. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newry City AFC 12%, draw 18%, H&W Welders 70%.
Safer route: H&W Welders or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was H&W Welders to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Newry City AFC 0–2 H&W Welders. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newry City AFC12%fair 8.29 · @5.75
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
H&W Welders70%fair 1.44 · @1.42
3.21Expected goals
0.87Newry City AFC xG
2.33H&W Welders xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 0.9 – 2.3 H&W Welders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
H&W Welders to win✗
70%
1.44
1.42
Double chance
H&W Welders or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Half-time result
H&W Welders ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT H&W Welders / FT H&W Welders✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.08
–
Form
Newry City AFC – last 6
DDDWLW
18 Sep
vs Annagh United
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Strabane Athletic
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Armagh City
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Institute
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Rathfriland
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
H&W Welders – last 6
LLWWWW
19 Sep
vs Ballinamallard United
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Annagh United
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Moyola Park
4–1
W
28 Aug
vs Dundela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Strabane Athletic
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Armagh City
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and H&W Welders.
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Our pick is H&W Welders to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and H&W Welders 70%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Our predicted score is Newry City AFC 0–2 H&W Welders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders (Championship) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
