Newry City AFC vs Armagh City prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewry City AFC to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceNewry City AFC or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Newry City AFC vs Armagh City preview and prediction
The match
Armagh City travel to The Showgrounds in the Championship on Friday 4 September (19:45 WAT) to face Newry City AFC. Newry City AFC are 5th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Armagh City sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newry City AFC's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Institute 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Armagh City's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Moyola Park 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Newry City AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Newry City AFC and 0.9 for Armagh City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newry City AFC 61%, draw 21%, Armagh City 17%.
Safer route: Newry City AFC or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Newry City AFC 1–0 Armagh City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newry City AFC61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.70
Armagh City17%fair 5.72 · @4.20
2.87Expected goals
1.95Newry City AFC xG
0.92Armagh City xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 1.9 – 0.9 Armagh City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newry City AFC to win✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Newry City AFC or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.57
Half-time result
Newry City AFC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.08
–
Form
Newry City AFC – last 6
WLWLWW
29 Aug
@ Institute
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Rathfriland
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Glenavon FC
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Bangor
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Armagh City – last 6
LDLLDL
28 Aug
@ Moyola Park
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Glenavon FC
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ H&W Welders
0–1
L
11 Aug
@ Warrenpoint Town
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Queen's University
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Ards
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and Armagh City.
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Armagh City 17%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?
Our predicted score is Newry City AFC 1–0 Armagh City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newry City AFC vs Armagh City?
Newry City AFC vs Armagh City (Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
