Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAscoli to win ✓67% · @1.65
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Ascoli vs Potenza preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia sees Ascoli take on Potenza on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Form guide
Ascoli's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Lazio 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Potenza's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Ascoli 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Ascoli 1–0 Potenza. Across their last 2 meetings Ascoli have won 1, Potenza 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Ascoli and 0.7 for Potenza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascoli 67%, draw 20%, Potenza 13%.
Safer route: Ascoli or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ascoli to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–0 Potenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli67%fair 1.50 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
Potenza13%fair 7.53 · @5.00
2.61Expected goals
1.91Ascoli xG
0.70Potenza xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.9 – 0.7 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ascoli to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Ascoli vs Potenza?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Potenza 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Potenza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Potenza?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–0 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Potenza?
Ascoli vs Potenza (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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