League One · England · Lamex StadiumStevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.6 – 1.1 Milton Keynes Dons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stevenage hold the edge on home soil with a 50% chance of winning, against 28% for Milton Keynes Dons.
Stevenage have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Milton Keynes Dons have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.6 for Stevenage, 1.1 for Milton Keynes Dons). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.92.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stevenage to win ✗ | 50% | 2.02 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage ✗ | 29% | 3.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.40 | – |
Form
Stevenage – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Plymouth | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Bradford | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Wigan | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Leicester | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Walsall | 6–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Leyton Orient | 0–1 | L |
Milton Keynes Dons – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Blackpool | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Luton | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Reading | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Brentford U21 | 7–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Crawley Town | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Milton Keynes Dons 28%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons (League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.