Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Plymouth to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlymouth to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Stevenage vs Plymouth preview and prediction
The match
Plymouth travel to Broadhall Way in the League One on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT) to face Stevenage. Stevenage are 16th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Plymouth sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Stevenage's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Bradford 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Plymouth's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Huddersfield 0–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Stevenage and 1.4 for Plymouth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Plymouth to win at 2.60 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stevenage34%fair 2.90 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Plymouth41%fair 2.42 · @2.60
2.70Expected goals
1.27Stevenage xG
1.43Plymouth xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.3 – 1.4 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plymouth 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Stevenage vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Broadhall Way.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
