League One · England · ABAX StadiumPeterborough vs Burton Albion prediction & analysis
Peterborough to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Peterborough 1.8 – 0.9 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Peterborough are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 21% for Burton Albion.
Peterborough have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Burton Albion have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Peterborough come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Peterborough, 0.9 for Burton Albion). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Peterborough have won 0, Burton Albion have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Peterborough to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Peterborough to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Peterborough ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Peterborough / FT Peterborough ✗ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.13 | – |
Form
Peterborough – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Leicester | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Ipswich Town U21 | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Stockport County | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Colchester | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Doncaster | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Barnsley | 3–3 | D |
Burton Albion – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Doncaster | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | @ Grimsby | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Huddersfield | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Plymouth | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Nottingham Forest U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Mansfield Town | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 2026 | Peterborough v Burton Albion | 1–1 |
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Peterborough to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Peterborough have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Burton Albion 21%.
How many goals will there be in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
Peterborough vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at ABAX Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.