League One · England · Valley ParadeBradford vs Stevenage prediction & analysis
Bradford or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bradford to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bradford 1.3 – 0.6 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bradford hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for Stevenage.
Bradford have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. Stevenage have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for Bradford, 0.6 for Stevenage). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 0–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%).
Our pick is Bradford or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Bradford to win at 1.91 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bradford to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bradford or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bradford / FT Bradford ✗ | 32% | 3.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.19 | – |
Form
Bradford – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Leyton Orient | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Rotherham | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Reading | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Newcastle United U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Luton | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Notts County | 1–0 | W |
Stevenage – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Wigan | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Leicester | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Walsall | 6–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Leyton Orient | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Luton | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Barnsley | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Stevenage.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bradford vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Bradford or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bradford vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Bradford have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stevenage 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Stevenage?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Bradford vs Stevenage?
Bradford vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.