Leicester host Oxford United in the League One on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at King Power Stadium. Leicester are 10th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Oxford United sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Leicester's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Plymouth 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oxford United's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Huddersfield 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Leicester and 0.9 for Oxford United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leicester 60%, draw 19%, Oxford United 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Leicester 1–1 Oxford United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leicester60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
Oxford United21%fair 4.86 · @4.70
2.68Expected goals
1.78Leicester xG
0.90Oxford United xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Leicester 1.8 – 0.9 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Leicester ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Leicester – last 6
WDLLDW
1 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Burton Albion
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Notts County
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
LWDLWW
1 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Stevenage
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–0
W
28 Jul
vs Crawley Town
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Leicester vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leicester vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Leicester have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Oxford United 21%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Oxford United?
Leicester vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
