Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 1.82 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo to win ✓60% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Dynamo vs Akhmat preview and prediction
The match
Dynamo host Akhmat in the Cup on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at VTB Arena.
Form guide
Dynamo's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Akhmat's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Krylia Sovetov 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Dynamo and 0.8 for Akhmat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo 60%, draw 19%, Akhmat 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.68.
Value angle: Dynamo to win at 1.82 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Dynamo 1–0 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo60%fair 1.66 · @1.82
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.88
Akhmat20%fair 4.94 · @4.33
2.41Expected goals
1.64Dynamo xG
0.78Akhmat xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Dynamo 1.6 – 0.8 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
60%
1.66
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.07 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.84
–
Form
Dynamo – last 6
WWLLWW
29 Aug
@ Lokomotiv
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva
3–1
W
19 Aug
vs FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Zenit
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Fakel
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
DWWLDD
29 Aug
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs FC Rostov
4–1
W
18 Aug
vs Fakel
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Fakel
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo and Akhmat.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Dynamo vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Dynamo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Akhmat 20%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Dynamo 1–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dynamo vs Akhmat?
Dynamo vs Akhmat (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
