Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Baltika or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Baltika to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceBaltika or draw ✓86% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Baltika take on Dinamo Makhachkala on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Rostec Arena.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Krylia Sovetov 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Dinamo Makhachkala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Dinamo Makhachkala 2–2 Baltika.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Baltika and 0.6 for Dinamo Makhachkala. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 65%, draw 21%, Dinamo Makhachkala 14%.
Safer route: Baltika or draw (86%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.03.
Value angle: Baltika to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baltika or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.23, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Baltika 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika65%fair 1.54 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.45
Dinamo Makhachkala14%fair 7.29 · @4.50
2.17Expected goals
1.62Baltika xG
0.55Dinamo Makhachkala xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.6 – 0.6 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our pick is Baltika or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
On our numbers Baltika have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dinamo Makhachkala 14%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
