Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Wrexham take on Middlesbrough on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Racecourse Ground. Wrexham are 15th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Wrexham's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Sheffield Utd 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Middlesbrough's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Charlton 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Middlesbrough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham. Across their last 2 meetings Wrexham have won 0, Middlesbrough 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Wrexham and 2.1 for Middlesbrough. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wrexham13%fair 7.43 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.00
Middlesbrough63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
3.08Expected goals
0.94Wrexham xG
2.14Middlesbrough xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Wrexham 0.9 – 2.1 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Middlesbrough 63%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
