Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWolves to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.61
Burnley vs Wolves preview and prediction
The match
Burnley host Wolves in the Championship on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Turf Moor. Burnley are 22nd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Wolves sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Burnley's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Charlton 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Wolves's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Bolton 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Burnley 1–1 Wolves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Burnley and 1.8 for Wolves. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burnley 35%, draw 23%, Wolves 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burnley 1–1 Wolves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Wolves42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
3.37Expected goals
1.60Burnley xG
1.77Wolves xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Burnley 1.6 – 1.8 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
On our numbers Burnley have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wolves 42%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Wolves?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Wolves?
Our predicted score is Burnley 1–1 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Burnley vs Wolves?
Burnley vs Wolves (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
