Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWolves to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Birmingham vs Wolves preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Birmingham take on Wolves on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Birmingham are 1st with 29 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Wolves sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Birmingham's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Southampton 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Wolves's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to West Ham 2–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Wolves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Birmingham and 1.9 for Wolves. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Birmingham 1–1 Wolves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham34%fair 2.93 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Wolves43%fair 2.30 · @2.45
3.50Expected goals
1.64Birmingham xG
1.86Wolves xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.6 – 1.9 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wolves to win✗
43%
2.30
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wolves / FT Wolves✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.66
–
Form
Birmingham – last 6
DWLDDW
1 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Wrexham
2–1
W
25 Aug
vs Brentford
1–6
L
22 Aug
vs Bristol City
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sheffield Utd
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Swansea
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wolves – last 6
LWWWDW
1 Sep
@ West Ham
2–4
L
29 Aug
vs Stoke City
4–1
W
25 Aug
@ Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Preston
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Blackburn
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Port Vale
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham and Wolves.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Birmingham vs Wolves?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wolves 43%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Wolves?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Wolves?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–1 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Wolves?
Birmingham vs Wolves (Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.