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First League · Russia · Yekaterinburg Arena

Ural

DLLWL
0–1
FT

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUral to win ✗46% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction

The match

Ural host Torpedo Moskva in the First League on Monday 13 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Yekaterinburg Arena. Ural are 2nd with 34 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ural's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Chelyabinsk 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Torpedo Moskva's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat FC Sochi 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Ural 2–0 Torpedo Moskva.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Ural and 0.9 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Ural 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ural46%fair 2.17 · @2.09
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.18
Torpedo Moskva28%fair 3.63 · @3.50
2.21Expected goals
1.29Ural xG
0.91Torpedo Moskva xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ural 1.3 – 0.9 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

UralTorpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average+24%+21%
Goals conceded vs average-39%-33%
Our expected goals here1.230.86

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral to win ✗46%2.172.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.92 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural / FT Ural ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Form

Ural – last 6

DLLWLW
4 Julvs Chelyabinsk1–1D
23 May@ Dinamo Makhachkala0–2L
20 Mayvs Dinamo Makhachkala0–1L
11 Mayvs KAMAZ2–0W
4 Mayvs Shinnik Yaroslavl0–1L
26 Apr@ Chelyabinsk2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WWWDDL
3 Jul@ FC Sochi3–0W
27 Jun@ Dynamo2–0W
22 Junvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
11 May@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
27 Aprvs Fakel2–2D
22 Apr@ Ural0–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Ural v Torpedo Moskva2–0
Ural vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Ural have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Torpedo Moskva 28%.

How many goals will there be in Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Ural 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.