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Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Legia Warszawa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki preview and prediction

The match

Legia Warszawa host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Legia Warszawa's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 3–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Wigry Suwałki 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Legia Warszawa and 0.8 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Legia Warszawa to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 2–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Legia Warszawa67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki12%fair 8.29 · @5.80
2.90Expected goals
2.11Legia Warszawa xG
0.79Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 0.8 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win ✓67%1.491.44
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLegia Warszawa ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12%8.17–

Form

Legia Warszawa – last 6

WWWDWW
14 Julvs Radomiak Radom3–1W
10 Julvs AS Trencin1–0W
7 Julvs Hapoel Beer Sheva3–1W
2 Jul@ 1. FC Nürnberg2–2D
27 Jun@ Bayern München II2–0W
23 Mayvs Motor Lublin4–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

LDDWLD
17 Julvs Wigry Suwałki0–2L
11 Julvs Pogoń Siedlce2–2D
7 Julvs AS Trencin1–1D
4 Jul@ Unia Skierniewice1–0W
27 Jun@ Wisla Plock1–2L
24 May@ Slask Wroclaw0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Legia Warszawa to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 12%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.