Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II preview and prediction
The match
Varnsdorf host Slovan Liberec II in the 3. Liga CFL B on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline. Varnsdorf are 11th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Slovan Liberec II sit 10th on 37 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Varnsdorf's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Jablonec II 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Slovan Liberec II's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Benátky nad Jizerou 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Varnsdorf arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Varnsdorf and 1.0 for Slovan Liberec II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varnsdorf 69%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec II 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Varnsdorf to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Varnsdorf 2–0 Slovan Liberec II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varnsdorf69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.80
Slovan Liberec II12%fair 8.53 · @5.50
3.46Expected goals
2.48Varnsdorf xG
0.98Slovan Liberec II xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–18%
From our goals model: Varnsdorf 2.5 – 1.0 Slovan Liberec II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varnsdorf to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Varnsdorf or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Varnsdorf ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Varnsdorf – last 6
LLDWWD
20 Sep
vs Jablonec II
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Slavia Praha
1–5
L
12 Sep
@ Sokol Zápy
4–4
D
6 Sep
vs Velké Hamry
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Neratovice-Byškovice
2–1
W
25 Aug
vs Ústí nad Labem
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Slovan Liberec II – last 6
LLLDLL
26 Sep
vs Benátky nad Jizerou
0–4
L
20 Sep
@ Mladá Boleslav II
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sokol Zápy
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Pardubice II
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Jablonec II
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Teplice II
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varnsdorf and Slovan Liberec II.
What is the prediction for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
Our pick is Varnsdorf to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
On our numbers Varnsdorf have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Slovan Liberec II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
Our predicted score is Varnsdorf 2–0 Slovan Liberec II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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