Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Ústí nad Orlicí to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultÚstí nad Orlicí to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí preview and prediction
The match
The 4. Liga Divizie C sees Dvůr Králové take on Ústí nad Orlicí on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Dvůr Králové are 10th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ústí nad Orlicí sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Dvůr Králové's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Vykan 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ústí nad Orlicí's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Hlinsko 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Ústí nad Orlicí arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Dvůr Králové and 2.3 for Ústí nad Orlicí. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dvůr Králové 21%, draw 19%, Ústí nad Orlicí 60%.
Value angle: Ústí nad Orlicí to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Dvůr Králové 1–2 Ústí nad Orlicí. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dvůr Králové21%fair 4.84 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.90
Ústí nad Orlicí60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
3.56Expected goals
1.28Dvůr Králové xG
2.28Ústí nad Orlicí xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dvůr Králové 1.3 – 2.3 Ústí nad Orlicí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ústí nad Orlicí to win✓
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Ústí nad Orlicí ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ústí nad Orlicí / FT Ústí nad Orlicí✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Dvůr Králové – last 6
LWDLWL
5 Sep
@ Vykan
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Svitavy
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Kolín
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Hlinsko
2–3
L
9 Aug
vs Slavia Hradec Králové
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Spartak Police nMetují
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ústí nad Orlicí – last 6
WLWWLD
5 Sep
vs Hlinsko
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Slavia Hradec Králové
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Letohrad
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Chrudim II
6–0
W
12 Aug
@ Přepeře
3–4
L
8 Aug
vs Turnov
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dvůr Králové and Ústí nad Orlicí.
What is the prediction for Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
On our numbers Dvůr Králové have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ústí nad Orlicí 60%.
How many goals will there be in Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Our predicted score is Dvůr Králové 1–2 Ústí nad Orlicí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Dvůr Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí (4. Liga Divizie C) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
