Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLarne to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceLarne or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Larne vs Portadown preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Larne take on Portadown on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Inver Park. Larne are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Portadown sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Larne's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Limavady United 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Portadown's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Linfield 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Larne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Portadown 0–2 Larne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Larne and 0.7 for Portadown. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Larne 69%, draw 18%, Portadown 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Larne to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Larne 2–0 Portadown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Larne69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @6.00
Portadown13%fair 7.71 · @9.50
2.71Expected goals
2.01Larne xG
0.70Portadown xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Larne 2.0 – 0.7 Portadown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Larne to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Larne vs Portadown?
On our numbers Larne have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Portadown 13%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Portadown?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Portadown?
Our predicted score is Larne 2–0 Portadown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Portadown?
Larne vs Portadown (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
