Ballymena United vs Portadown prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBallymena United to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceBallymena United or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.12
Ballymena United vs Portadown preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Ballymena United take on Portadown on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ballymena Showgrounds. Ballymena United are 9th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Portadown sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ballymena United's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Dungannon Swifts 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Portadown's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Bangor 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Ballymena United and 0.9 for Portadown. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballymena United 62%, draw 23%, Portadown 15%.
Safer route: Ballymena United or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ballymena United 2–0 Portadown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballymena United62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
Portadown15%fair 6.68 · @4.20
2.90Expected goals
2.00Ballymena United xG
0.90Portadown xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ballymena United 2.0 – 0.9 Portadown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ballymena United to win✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Double chance
Ballymena United or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Ballymena United ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ballymena United / FT Ballymena United✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
9.12
–
Form
Ballymena United – last 6
DDLDLL
19 Sep
@ Dungannon Swifts
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Carrick Rangers
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Coleraine FC
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bangor
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Glentoran
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portadown – last 6
LDLLLL
19 Sep
@ Bangor
1–3
L
15 Sep
vs Linfield
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Larne
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Cliftonville FC
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballymena United and Portadown.
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Portadown?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Portadown?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portadown 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Portadown?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Portadown?
Our predicted score is Ballymena United 2–0 Portadown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ballymena United vs Portadown?
Ballymena United vs Portadown (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
