Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Dungannon Swifts or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Dungannon Swifts to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDungannon Swifts to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceDungannon Swifts or draw ✗81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.93
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts preview and prediction
The match
Crusaders FC host Dungannon Swifts in the Premiership on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Seaview. Crusaders FC are 8th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Dungannon Swifts sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Crusaders FC's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Limavady United 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Dungannon Swifts's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Linfield 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dungannon Swifts arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Crusaders FC and 1.9 for Dungannon Swifts. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crusaders FC 19%, draw 20%, Dungannon Swifts 61%.
Safer route: Dungannon Swifts or draw (81%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Dungannon Swifts to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dungannon Swifts or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Crusaders FC 0–1 Dungannon Swifts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crusaders FC19%fair 5.20 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.40
Dungannon Swifts61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.83Expected goals
0.93Crusaders FC xG
1.90Dungannon Swifts xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Crusaders FC 0.9 – 1.9 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dungannon Swifts to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Dungannon Swifts or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Dungannon Swifts ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dungannon Swifts / FT Dungannon Swifts✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.93
–
Form
Crusaders FC – last 6
LLWWWL
12 Sep
vs Limavady United
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Coleraine FC
1–4
L
29 Aug
@ Glentoran
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portadown
3–2
W
15 Aug
vs Ballymena United
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Cliftonville FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dungannon Swifts – last 6
LWWWWL
12 Sep
vs Linfield
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Limavady United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Cliftonville FC
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Bangor
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Portadown
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts.
What is the prediction for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our pick is Dungannon Swifts or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
On our numbers Crusaders FC have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dungannon Swifts 61%.
How many goals will there be in Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our predicted score is Crusaders FC 0–1 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Seaview.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
