Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Portadown vs Larne preview and prediction
The match
Larne travel to Shamrock Park in the Premiership on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT) to face Portadown. Portadown are 12th with 9 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Larne sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portadown's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cliftonville FC 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Larne's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Bangor 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Larne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.5 for Portadown and 1.8 for Larne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 37%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portadown 9%, draw 22%, Larne 69%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Larne to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Portadown 0–1 Larne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portadown9%fair 10.99 · @8.50
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.50
Larne69%fair 1.45 · @1.35
2.25Expected goals
0.48Portadown xG
1.77Larne xG
37%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–217%
0–011%
0–310%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portadown 0.5 – 1.8 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
Portadown – last 6
LLLLLW
5 Sep
@ Cliftonville FC
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Dungannon Swifts
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Carrick Rangers
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Kilbarrack United
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larne – last 6
WWLWDD
8 Sep
vs Bangor
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Glentoran
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Coleraine FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Saburtalo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portadown and Larne.
Our pick is Larne to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Portadown vs Larne?
On our numbers Portadown have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Larne 69%.
How many goals will there be in Portadown vs Larne?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portadown vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Portadown 0–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Portadown vs Larne?
Portadown vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamrock Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
