Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLinfield to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.05
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Linfield take on Carrick Rangers on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Windsor Park. Linfield are 1st with 36 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Carrick Rangers sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Linfield's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Limavady United 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carrick Rangers's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Bangor 4–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Linfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Carrick Rangers 2–0 Linfield.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Linfield and 0.6 for Carrick Rangers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Linfield to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Linfield 1–0 Carrick Rangers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Linfield66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Carrick Rangers12%fair 8.61 · @4.80
2.38Expected goals
1.79Linfield xG
0.59Carrick Rangers xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.8 – 0.6 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Our pick is Linfield to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
On our numbers Linfield have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carrick Rangers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
