Ballymena United vs Glentoran prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Glentoran or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Glentoran to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGlentoran to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceGlentoran or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Ballymena United vs Glentoran preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Ballymena United take on Glentoran on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ballymena Showgrounds. Ballymena United are 9th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Glentoran sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ballymena United's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Crusaders FC 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Glentoran's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Linfield 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Ballymena United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Ballymena United and 1.9 for Glentoran. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballymena United 15%, draw 23%, Glentoran 62%.
Safer route: Glentoran or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Glentoran to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Glentoran or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ballymena United 0–1 Glentoran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballymena United15%fair 6.87 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Glentoran62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
2.75Expected goals
0.83Ballymena United xG
1.92Glentoran xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ballymena United 0.8 – 1.9 Glentoran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Glentoran to win✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Glentoran or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Glentoran ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Glentoran / FT Glentoran✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.13
–
Form
Ballymena United – last 6
LWDDWW
15 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Linfield
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Glenavon FC
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Annagh United
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Portstewart
5–1
W
24 Jul
@ Carrick Rangers
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Glentoran – last 6
LWLLDL
15 Aug
@ Linfield
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Limavady United
2–0
W
16 Jul
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Rīgas FS
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Dundela
3–3
D
1 Jul
vs Kilmarnock
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballymena United and Glentoran.
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Our pick is Glentoran or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Glentoran 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Our predicted score is Ballymena United 0–1 Glentoran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Ballymena United vs Glentoran (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
