Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLarne to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceLarne or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Larne vs Bangor preview and prediction
The match
Larne host Bangor in the Premiership on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Inver Park. Larne are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Bangor sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Larne's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Glentoran 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bangor's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Ballymena United 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Larne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Larne and 0.7 for Bangor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Larne 71%, draw 21%, Bangor 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Larne 2–0 Bangor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Larne71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @5.50
Bangor8%fair 12.43 · @14.00
2.89Expected goals
2.22Larne xG
0.68Bangor xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Larne 2.2 – 0.7 Bangor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
71%
1.41
1.18
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Larne – last 6
WLWDDD
4 Sep
vs Glentoran
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Coleraine FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Saburtalo
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Saburtalo
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bangor – last 6
DLLLDW
5 Sep
vs Ballymena United
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Carrick Rangers
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Dungannon Swifts
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cliftonville FC
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Dergview
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Ballinamallard United
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Bangor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Larne vs Bangor?
On our numbers Larne have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bangor 8%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Bangor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Bangor?
Our predicted score is Larne 2–0 Bangor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Bangor?
Larne vs Bangor (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
