Linfield vs Ballymena United preview and prediction
The match
Linfield host Ballymena United in the Premiership on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Windsor Park. Linfield are 1st with 36 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Ballymena United sit 9th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Linfield's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Dollingstown 7–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ballymena United's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Glenavon FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 6. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Ballymena United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Linfield and 0.9 for Ballymena United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Linfield 61%, draw 24%, Ballymena United 15%.
Safer route: Linfield or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Linfield 2–0 Ballymena United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Linfield61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.60
Ballymena United15%fair 6.66 · @4.20
2.76Expected goals
1.90Linfield xG
0.86Ballymena United xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.9 – 0.9 Ballymena United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Linfield or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Linfield ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Linfield – last 6
WWLDLL
28 Jul
@ Dollingstown
7–1
W
24 Jul
@ Limavady United
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Doncaster
0–2
L
16 Jul
vs Kalju Nomme
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Aberdeen
0–2
L
9 Jul
@ Kalju Nomme
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ballymena United – last 6
DDWWDW
1 Aug
@ Glenavon FC
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Annagh United
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Portstewart
5–1
W
24 Jul
@ Carrick Rangers
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Queen's University
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Dundela
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Ballymena United.
What is the prediction for Linfield vs Ballymena United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Linfield vs Ballymena United?
On our numbers Linfield have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ballymena United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Ballymena United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Ballymena United?
Our predicted score is Linfield 2–0 Ballymena United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Ballymena United?
Linfield vs Ballymena United (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
