Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSV Hartberg to win ✓38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg preview and prediction
The match
TSV Hartberg travel to Merkur-Arena in the Bundesliga on Friday 30 October (19:30 WAT) to face Grazer AK. Grazer AK are 10th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while TSV Hartberg sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Grazer AK's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to SCR Altach 0–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
TSV Hartberg's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Austria Vienna 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
TSV Hartberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished TSV Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Grazer AK and 1.7 for TSV Hartberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grazer AK 37%, draw 24%, TSV Hartberg 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.67.
Value angle: TSV Hartberg to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Grazer AK 1–1 TSV Hartberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grazer AK37%fair 2.67 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
TSV Hartberg38%fair 2.62 · @3.25
3.30Expected goals
1.64Grazer AK xG
1.66TSV Hartberg xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.6 – 1.7 TSV Hartberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
On our numbers Grazer AK have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and TSV Hartberg 38%.
How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 TSV Hartberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
