Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Sturm Graz vs Ried preview and prediction
The match
Sturm Graz host Ried in the Bundesliga on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau. Sturm Graz are 5th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Ried sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Marseille 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ried's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Austria Vienna 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Sturm Graz and 1.1 for Ried. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sturm Graz 60%, draw 24%, Ried 16%.
Safer route: Sturm Graz or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sturm Graz or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.90
Ried16%fair 6.33 · @4.20
3.17Expected goals
2.12Sturm Graz xG
1.05Ried xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 2.1 – 1.1 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Sturm Graz ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Sturm Graz – last 6
WWLWWL
22 Oct
vs Marseille
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Grazer AK
6–1
W
15 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Austria Vienna
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Floridsdorfer AC
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ried – last 6
WWDWDW
17 Oct
vs Austria Vienna
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ WSG Wattens
2–1
W
2 Oct
vs SKU Amstetten
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Wolfsberger AC
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Wallern Marienkirchen
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and Ried.
Our pick is Sturm Graz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Ried?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ried 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Ried?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Sturm Graz vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
