Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK preview and prediction
The match
Sturm Graz host Grazer AK in the Bundesliga on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Merkur-Arena. Sturm Graz are 5th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Grazer AK sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Bournemouth 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Grazer AK's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Red Bull Salzburg 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Sturm Graz and 0.8 for Grazer AK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sturm Graz 58%, draw 25%, Grazer AK 17%.
Safer route: Sturm Graz or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sturm Graz or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 1–0 Grazer AK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.50
Grazer AK17%fair 5.90 · @3.90
2.56Expected goals
1.73Sturm Graz xG
0.83Grazer AK xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.7 – 0.8 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.49
–
Form
Sturm Graz – last 6
LWWLDW
15 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Austria Vienna
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Floridsdorfer AC
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Rennes
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Lask Linz
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grazer AK – last 6
DWDWWD
10 Oct
vs Red Bull Salzburg
0–0
D
30 Sep
@ Kalsdorf
5–1
W
19 Sep
vs Austria Vienna
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ SCR Altach
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Kitzbühel
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Wolfsberger AC
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Our pick is Sturm Graz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grazer AK 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–0 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
