TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Austria Lustenau to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSV Hartberg to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau preview and prediction
The match
Austria Lustenau travel to Profertil Arena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 11 October (13:30 WAT) to face TSV Hartberg. TSV Hartberg are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Austria Lustenau sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
TSV Hartberg's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Lask Linz 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Austria Lustenau's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FC Schalke 04 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
TSV Hartberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for TSV Hartberg and 1.4 for Austria Lustenau. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: TSV Hartberg 44%, draw 21%, Austria Lustenau 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Austria Lustenau to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: TSV Hartberg 1–1 Austria Lustenau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSV Hartberg44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Austria Lustenau35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.61TSV Hartberg xG
1.39Austria Lustenau xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.6 – 1.4 Austria Lustenau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV Hartberg to win✓
44%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV Hartberg / FT TSV Hartberg✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
TSV Hartberg – last 6
DDWWWL
20 Sep
vs Lask Linz
3–3
D
13 Sep
@ WSG Wattens
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ SK Vorwarts Steyr
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Ried
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ SCR Altach
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
0–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Austria Lustenau – last 6
LWLWLD
3 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs SCR Altach
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Austria Vienna
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ SV Lafnitz
6–2
W
28 Aug
vs WSG Wattens
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Sturm Graz
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau.
What is the prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Austria Lustenau 35%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 1–1 Austria Lustenau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Profertil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
