Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg preview and prediction
The match
Red Bull Salzburg travel to Innviertel Arena in the Bundesliga on Friday 11 September (18:30 WAT) to face Ried. Ried are 6th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Red Bull Salzburg sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ried's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Wallern Marienkirchen 5–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Red Bull Salzburg's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat SKN ST. Polten 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Red Bull Salzburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Ried and 2.2 for Red Bull Salzburg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ried 17%, draw 19%, Red Bull Salzburg 63%.
Safer route: Red Bull Salzburg or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Ried 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ried17%fair 5.72 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.00
Red Bull Salzburg63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
3.30Expected goals
1.08Ried xG
2.22Red Bull Salzburg xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Ried 1.1 – 2.2 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Red Bull Salzburg to win✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Double chance
Red Bull Salzburg or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Red Bull Salzburg ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Ried – last 6
WLWLLD
4 Sep
@ Wallern Marienkirchen
5–1
W
30 Aug
@ TSV Hartberg
2–3
L
21 Aug
vs Grazer AK
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Lask Linz
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Rapid Vienna
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Austria Lustenau
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Red Bull Salzburg – last 6
WWWWWW
6 Sep
@ SKN ST. Polten
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Rapid Vienna
5–1
W
30 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Mjallby AIF
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Mjallby AIF
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ WSG Wattens
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ried and Red Bull Salzburg.
What is the prediction for Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg?
On our numbers Ried have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Red Bull Salzburg 63%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Innviertel Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
