Value bet: Sturm Graz to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.70
Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach preview and prediction
The match
Sturm Graz host SCR Altach in the Bundesliga on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Merkur-Arena. Sturm Graz are 5th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while SCR Altach sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SCR Altach's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat WSG Wattens 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Sturm Graz 2–0 SCR Altach.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Sturm Graz and 0.7 for SCR Altach. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Sturm Graz to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 1–0 SCR Altach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.75
SCR Altach13%fair 7.53 · @4.60
2.48Expected goals
1.79Sturm Graz xG
0.69SCR Altach xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.8 – 0.7 SCR Altach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SCR Altach 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–0 SCR Altach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.